Bills and Vikings Clash in Week 9 as Allen and Jefferson Top Scoring Odds
Two six-win teams meet on Monday Night Football, with betting markets favoring Buffalo's running back and Minnesota's wide receiver for the first points.
By Takeshi Faure ·
The Buffalo Bills and Minnesota Vikings face off on Monday night to conclude Week 9 of the NFL season. Both teams hold a 6-1 record, setting up a high-profile matchup for the league's top contenders. The game will determine the early standings for two teams that have dominated their respective divisions.
Josh Allen leads the market as the favorite to score the first touchdown. His contract price sits at $0.15. This valuation reflects his consistent production near the goal line. Allen has rushed for nine touchdowns in the 2026 season. He has scored at least one rushing touchdown in every game except one this year. His ability to break the plane in short-yardage situations makes him a near certainty against even elite defenses.
Justin Jefferson is the leading pick for Minnesota, with a contract price of $0.10. The Bills' defense has struggled to contain opposing wide receivers. Wideouts have recorded 11 receiving touchdowns against Buffalo this season. Tight ends have one, and running backs and quarterbacks combined for three rushing scores. Jefferson is expected to receive a high volume of targets given this defensive weakness. He caught two touchdowns from quarterback Carson Wentz in Week 1. Wentz will start for the Vikings this week after Kyler Murray was ruled out with a hamstring injury. The return of Wentz may improve chemistry with Jefferson.
The market also offers lower-priced options for the first score. James Cook for the Bills and Jordan Mason for the Vikings both trade at $0.08. Several players are listed at $0.07, including TJ Hockenson, Aaron Jones, Dalton Kincaid, and DJ Moore. Khalil Shakir and Jordan Addison follow at $0.06. Keon Coleman is the last name listed on the primary board at $0.05. These prices reflect the statistical probability of each player scoring before any teammate.
Defensive plays remain a factor in the odds. The Vikings defense and special teams unit is available at $0.03. This price accounts for the risk posed by Josh Allen to the football. Allen has thrown five interceptions this season. He has also had four fumbles, one of which was lost. Minnesota's aggressive defensive scheme could capitalize on these turnovers early in the game. A defensive stop or interception could shift the momentum before the offense gains rhythm.
The game takes place on Monday, November 9, 2026. It serves as the closing contest for Week 9. Both teams entered the week with identical records. The outcome will directly impact their positioning in the NFL standings. The matchup features two of the league's most productive offenses. The Bills rely heavily on Allen's dual-threat capability. The Vikings depend on Jefferson's ability to exploit man coverage. The defensive adjustments made by both coaches will be key to the final result.
